Map room
Iran-only cut

Iran war map room

A map-first companion to the cease-fire dossier. It keeps the focus on strike geography, Hormuz route alternatives, chokepoint logic, and the regions that would absorb the hardest shock if disruption deepens.

These cards summarize and point to the original interactive sources. Several providers block direct embedding, so the map room uses preview imagery, sourced metrics, and outbound links instead of in-page iframes.

Strike maps

2

ISW-CTP map layers that track strike geography and tempo inside Iran.

Route models

5

The main maritime and pipeline alternatives when Hormuz is disrupted.

Exposure tiers

8

Regional vulnerability cards rebuilt from Hormuz Strait Monitor analysis.

Strike maps

The most useful external map layers for the war itself

These are the two strongest Iran-war maps from the ISW-CTP stack. They are the quickest way to orient around where the campaign is landing, how it is spreading, and whether the pattern is persistent or episodic.

Strike geography
Iran campaign map
Operational spread
ISW-CTP ArcGIS StoryMaps·Apr 14, 2026

ISW-CTP ArcGIS: Interactive Map of U.S. and Israeli Strikes in Iran

Best single map layer in the dossier for where strikes are landing now. It is used here as a spatial reference rather than a standalone argument.

Why it matters here

This is the fastest way to see where strikes are concentrating, whether they are widening geographically, and which areas look operationally central rather than rhetorically central.

IranStrikesISWCTPArcGIS
Strike geography
Iran campaign map
Operational spread
ISW-CTP ArcGIS StoryMaps·Jan 2, 2026

ISW-CTP ArcGIS: Time-lapse of Israeli Strikes in Iran

Useful for seeing whether the campaign looks episodic or cumulative over time, which makes it a better tempo reference than a single static daily snapshot.

Why it matters here

Use this when you want tempo and pattern, not only location. It helps separate one-off spikes from sustained operational pressure.

IranTime-lapseStrikesISWCTP

Route board

How much of Hormuz can actually be bypassed

This board rebuilds the route logic from Hormuz Strait Monitor's alternative-route analysis. The key operational point is that there is no clean substitute for normal Hormuz flow: some barrels can move, many still cannot, and the detours consume time as well as capacity.

Normal Hormuz flow

~20M

Approximate barrels per day moving through Hormuz in normal conditions.

Bypass ceiling

~10M

Best-case combined bypass capacity if multiple workarounds run hard at once.

Residual gap

~10M

The shortfall that still remains even in an optimistic rerouting scenario.

Cape of Good Hope

Maritime
Open-ocean detour
Persian Gulf to Cape to Europe / Asia
Adds voyage days

Capacity

Open-ocean route; no formal hard cap

Time profile

+10 to 15 days to Europe, +5 to 8 days to East Asia

Best use

The main fallback once cargo is already outside the Gulf and shippers decide to absorb longer voyages.

Main constraint

The route works, but longer voyages tie up ships, push fuel and crew costs higher, and squeeze effective tanker capacity.

Source route analysis

East-West Pipeline (Petroline)

Pipeline
Saudi bypass
Eastern Province to Yanbu
Gulf to Red Sea

Capacity

~5 million bbl/day at full run rate

Time profile

Pipeline transfer in roughly 2 days

Best use

Saudi Arabia's strongest direct bypass from the Eastern Province to Yanbu on the Red Sea.

Main constraint

Even fully loaded, it covers only about a quarter of normal Hormuz oil flow and remains vulnerable around Abqaiq and other fixed infrastructure.

Source route analysis

Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline (ADCOP)

Pipeline
UAE bypass
Habshan to Fujairah
Short crude bypass

Capacity

~1.5 million bbl/day

Time profile

Short pipeline bypass to Fujairah

Best use

The UAE's direct workaround for getting crude to the Gulf of Oman without re-entering Hormuz.

Main constraint

Useful but small at system scale, handling less than a tenth of normal Hormuz throughput and only serving UAE crude.

Source route analysis

Kirkuk-Ceyhan

Pipeline
Northern corridor
Kirkuk through Turkey to Ceyhan
Reliability-sensitive

Capacity

Limited and reliability-sensitive

Time profile

Non-Hormuz export path for northern Iraqi crude

Best use

A diversification route for some Iraqi exports heading toward Mediterranean markets.

Main constraint

It is not a Gulf-state bypass, and its repeated shutdowns make it too unreliable to treat as core Hormuz relief capacity.

Source route analysis

Suez plus SUMED

Hybrid
Secondary chain
Red Sea onward via SUMED
Needs first bypass

Capacity

~5 million bbl/day combined, if crude reaches the Red Sea first

Time profile

Useful mainly for Europe-bound onward movement

Best use

A secondary chain for moving Saudi crude onward after Petroline has already carried it to the Red Sea.

Main constraint

This does not bypass Hormuz by itself; it only helps after another bypass has already done the first part of the job.

Source route analysis
Alternative Shipping Routes preview
AnalysisHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor

Alternative Shipping Routes

A route-by-route breakdown of the main non-Hormuz options, including the Cape detour, Saudi and Emirati bypass pipelines, and the Suez-SUMED chain.

Why it matters here

This is the most useful operational reference for understanding what 'rerouting' really means in days, barrels, and bottlenecks rather than in headlines.

HormuzShippingPipelinesRoutes
Why Hormuz Oil Matters preview
ExplainerHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor

Why Hormuz Oil Matters

A compact explainer for why a narrow waterway still moves about a fifth of global oil supply and why price effects become worldwide almost immediately.

Why it matters here

It gives the macro baseline for the whole dossier: scale, chokepoint logic, benchmark pricing, and why even indirect importers still feel the shock.

OilPricesBenchmarksHormuz
LNG Supply and the Strait of Hormuz preview
ExplainerHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor

LNG Supply and the Strait of Hormuz

An LNG-focused explainer that emphasizes the point many oil-first discussions miss: there is no meaningful LNG bypass if Hormuz is shut.

Why it matters here

It sharpens the Asia power-sector story and explains why Japan, South Korea, India, and Europe face gas stress even when the public debate is framed only around crude.

LNGQatarGasAsia
Strait of Hormuz vs Suez Canal preview
ExplainerHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor·Apr 7, 2026

Strait of Hormuz vs Suez Canal

A comparison of the two most important maritime oil chokepoints, with throughput, LNG exposure, bypass options, and disruption types side by side.

Why it matters here

It helps readers understand why a Suez disruption is painful but usually manageable, while a full Hormuz disruption is the more consequential energy shock.

SuezHormuzChokepointsComparison

Heatmap

Regional exposure rebuilt from Hormuz Strait Monitor

Instead of embedding a third-party heatmap that may break or overwhelm the page, this section rebuilds the ranking into a crisp card grid. It separates direct physical dependence from indirect price exposure, which is the distinction most coverage loses.

CriticalHighModerateLow

JP

Japan

Critical
Northeast Asia
JP

Oil exposure

85 to 90% of oil imports via Hormuz

Reserve or buffer

~175 days of strategic reserves

LNG angle

25 to 30% of LNG exposure tied to Hormuz-linked Qatari flows

High industrial demand, limited domestic energy supply, and post-Fukushima gas dependence make Japan one of the clearest first-order exposure cases.

Source region analysis

KR

South Korea

Critical
Northeast Asia
KR

Oil exposure

70 to 80% of oil imports via Hormuz

Reserve or buffer

~90 days of strategic reserves

LNG angle

30 to 35% of LNG tied to Qatar

South Korea is both oil- and gas-exposed, and its energy-intensive industrial base makes supply stress bite quickly.

Source region analysis

IN

India

High
South Asia
IN

Oil exposure

55 to 65% of crude flows through Hormuz

Reserve or buffer

~10 days of strategic reserve cover

LNG angle

Qatar remains India's largest LNG supplier

India has diversified suppliers, but the combination of refining scale, import dependence, and a relatively thin reserve buffer keeps exposure high.

Source region analysis

CN

China

High
China
CN

Oil exposure

40 to 50% of oil imports via Hormuz

Reserve or buffer

Large reserve estimates, plus Russia and Central Asia pipelines

LNG angle

Qatar is a major supplier, but pipeline gas adds some cushion

China is better diversified than Japan or South Korea, but its absolute import volume is so large that even a smaller share still matters enormously.

Source region analysis

EU

European Union

Moderate
Europe
EU

Oil exposure

15 to 20% of oil exposure linked to Hormuz flows

Reserve or buffer

~90-day reserve rules across member states

LNG angle

Post-2022 LNG pivot increased reliance on Qatari cargoes

Europe's physical exposure is lower than East Asia's, but its post-Russia gas posture leaves it more sensitive to LNG shocks than many readers assume.

Source region analysis

SEA

Southeast Asia

Moderate
Southeast Asia
SEA

Oil exposure

Mixed exposure across importers and trading hubs

Reserve or buffer

Some relief from Australia and Malaysia

LNG angle

About 15 to 25% for the region in HSM's LNG framing

The region is not as uniformly exposed as Northeast Asia, but growing LNG demand and import dependence still make it sensitive to a prolonged disruption.

Source region analysis

US

United States

Low
United States
US

Oil exposure

Low direct physical dependence

Reserve or buffer

~370M barrels in the SPR, with release-rate limits

The United States is more insulated physically than the main Asian importers, but it still inherits the global price shock through Brent and refined-product markets.

Source region analysis

AU

Australia

Low
Australia
AU

Oil exposure

Mostly indirect exposure through prices and Asian partners

Reserve or buffer

Large LNG export role, but oil import dependence remains

Australia is not a first-tier Hormuz oil casualty, yet it still feels the market shock through imported fuels and through the vulnerability of its trading partners.

Source region analysis
LNG Supply and the Strait of Hormuz preview
ExplainerHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor

LNG Supply and the Strait of Hormuz

An LNG-focused explainer that emphasizes the point many oil-first discussions miss: there is no meaningful LNG bypass if Hormuz is shut.

Why it matters here

It sharpens the Asia power-sector story and explains why Japan, South Korea, India, and Europe face gas stress even when the public debate is framed only around crude.

LNGQatarGasAsia
Which Countries Depend Most on Strait of Hormuz Oil? preview
AnalysisHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor·Apr 8, 2026

Which Countries Depend Most on Strait of Hormuz Oil?

A country-ranking explainer that sorts exposure by physical dependence, not only by price effects, and distinguishes East Asian reliance from U.S. indirect exposure.

Why it matters here

This is the strongest source for rebuilding a simple regional heatmap because it separates critical, high, moderate, and low-direct exposure tiers.

JapanSouth KoreaIndiaChinaEU

Scenario chain

What the disruption looks like as a sequence, not a slogan

This is the most useful scenario framing from Hormuz Strait Monitor's analysis. It makes the crisis easier to think about in stages: prices first, logistics next, LNG stress alongside it, and broader macro damage only if the disruption persists.

First 24 hours

Markets move before the full physical shortage appears

Brent can spike on the expectation of missing supply before tankers have fully turned around, which means the shock reaches consumers and policymakers before logistics have even settled.

  • Brent reacts within hours, not days
  • Insurance and charter pricing jump immediately
  • Public debate shifts from diplomacy to emergency buffers
Source scenario analysis

Week one

Rerouting, reserve releases, and pipeline ramp-up happen at once

The first operational scramble blends SPR releases, Cape rerouting, and maximum use of Saudi and Emirati bypass lines, but the system still cannot fully replace normal Hormuz flow.

  • Cape detours add 10 to 15 days to Europe-bound cargoes
  • Petroline plus ADCOP cover only about a third of normal flow
  • Tanker availability tightens even when oil still exists on paper
Source scenario analysis

Parallel gas shock

The LNG side can become the more immediate power-system crisis

Qatari LNG has no meaningful bypass route, so a sustained Hormuz disruption can become a gas and electricity problem even in places that are not first-order oil casualties.

  • About a quarter of global LNG trade is exposed
  • No pipeline bypass exists for Qatari LNG
  • Japan and South Korea face both oil and gas pressure
Source scenario analysis

One month

Demand destruction and recession risk start to dominate

If the disruption lasts weeks rather than days, reserve buffers begin to look finite, poorer buyers are priced out first, and the energy shock becomes a broader macro story.

  • Oil above $150 becomes part of the scenario set
  • Reserve adequacy becomes a political question, not just a market one
  • The pressure for diplomatic resolution rises sharply
Source scenario analysis
Which Countries Depend Most on Strait of Hormuz Oil? preview
AnalysisHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor·Apr 8, 2026

Which Countries Depend Most on Strait of Hormuz Oil?

A country-ranking explainer that sorts exposure by physical dependence, not only by price effects, and distinguishes East Asian reliance from U.S. indirect exposure.

Why it matters here

This is the strongest source for rebuilding a simple regional heatmap because it separates critical, high, moderate, and low-direct exposure tiers.

JapanSouth KoreaIndiaChinaEU
What Happens If the Strait of Hormuz Is Blocked? preview
AnalysisHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor·Apr 9, 2026

What Happens If the Strait of Hormuz Is Blocked?

A staged scenario of the first 24 hours, week one, and the first month of a blockade, including reserves, rerouting, LNG stress, and demand destruction.

Why it matters here

It is useful because it sequences the shock instead of flattening it into one number, which makes it easier to understand what breaks first and what only breaks if the disruption lasts.

ScenarioOil shockReservesLNG

Source library

Everything used for this map room

A compact library of the external maps and explainers included here, kept to Iran-war-relevant material only. The ISW cards in this library are now being pulled from the canonical Geo story rather than only from local page constants.

Strike geography
Iran campaign map
Operational spread
ISW-CTP ArcGIS StoryMaps·Apr 14, 2026

ISW-CTP ArcGIS: Interactive Map of U.S. and Israeli Strikes in Iran

Best single map layer in the dossier for where strikes are landing now. It is used here as a spatial reference rather than a standalone argument.

Why it matters here

This is the fastest way to see where strikes are concentrating, whether they are widening geographically, and which areas look operationally central rather than rhetorically central.

IranStrikesISWCTPArcGIS
Strike geography
Iran campaign map
Operational spread
ISW-CTP ArcGIS StoryMaps·Jan 2, 2026

ISW-CTP ArcGIS: Time-lapse of Israeli Strikes in Iran

Useful for seeing whether the campaign looks episodic or cumulative over time, which makes it a better tempo reference than a single static daily snapshot.

Why it matters here

Use this when you want tempo and pattern, not only location. It helps separate one-off spikes from sustained operational pressure.

IranTime-lapseStrikesISWCTP
Strike geography
Iran campaign map
Operational spread
ISW-CTP·Apr 14, 2026

ISW-Critical Threats: Iran Update Special Report, April 14, 2026

Map-heavy special report used here for blockade geometry, strike geography, and the wider military picture behind the ceasefire story. It is especially useful because it pairs operational text with linked visuals rather than leaving the reader to infer the geography from headlines.

Why it matters here

This is the strongest single ISW source for readers who want the wider military picture behind the ceasefire and blockade discussion, not only shipping headlines.

IranISWCTPSpecial reportOperational context
Alternative Shipping Routes preview
AnalysisHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor

Alternative Shipping Routes

A route-by-route breakdown of the main non-Hormuz options, including the Cape detour, Saudi and Emirati bypass pipelines, and the Suez-SUMED chain.

Why it matters here

This is the most useful operational reference for understanding what 'rerouting' really means in days, barrels, and bottlenecks rather than in headlines.

HormuzShippingPipelinesRoutes
Why Hormuz Oil Matters preview
ExplainerHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor

Why Hormuz Oil Matters

A compact explainer for why a narrow waterway still moves about a fifth of global oil supply and why price effects become worldwide almost immediately.

Why it matters here

It gives the macro baseline for the whole dossier: scale, chokepoint logic, benchmark pricing, and why even indirect importers still feel the shock.

OilPricesBenchmarksHormuz
LNG Supply and the Strait of Hormuz preview
ExplainerHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor

LNG Supply and the Strait of Hormuz

An LNG-focused explainer that emphasizes the point many oil-first discussions miss: there is no meaningful LNG bypass if Hormuz is shut.

Why it matters here

It sharpens the Asia power-sector story and explains why Japan, South Korea, India, and Europe face gas stress even when the public debate is framed only around crude.

LNGQatarGasAsia
Which Countries Depend Most on Strait of Hormuz Oil? preview
AnalysisHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor·Apr 8, 2026

Which Countries Depend Most on Strait of Hormuz Oil?

A country-ranking explainer that sorts exposure by physical dependence, not only by price effects, and distinguishes East Asian reliance from U.S. indirect exposure.

Why it matters here

This is the strongest source for rebuilding a simple regional heatmap because it separates critical, high, moderate, and low-direct exposure tiers.

JapanSouth KoreaIndiaChinaEU
What Happens If the Strait of Hormuz Is Blocked? preview
AnalysisHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor·Apr 9, 2026

What Happens If the Strait of Hormuz Is Blocked?

A staged scenario of the first 24 hours, week one, and the first month of a blockade, including reserves, rerouting, LNG stress, and demand destruction.

Why it matters here

It is useful because it sequences the shock instead of flattening it into one number, which makes it easier to understand what breaks first and what only breaks if the disruption lasts.

ScenarioOil shockReservesLNG
Strait of Hormuz vs Suez Canal preview
ExplainerHormuz system view
Hormuz Strait Monitor·Apr 7, 2026

Strait of Hormuz vs Suez Canal

A comparison of the two most important maritime oil chokepoints, with throughput, LNG exposure, bypass options, and disruption types side by side.

Why it matters here

It helps readers understand why a Suez disruption is painful but usually manageable, while a full Hormuz disruption is the more consequential energy shock.

SuezHormuzChokepointsComparison